BRENDEN JONGMAN

Climate risk, ocean systems, and how the world adapts.

I work on climate risk, ocean systems, and resilience. Over fifteen years I have advised governments across more than twenty countries on climate adaptation, nature-based solutions, and disaster risk. My focus is increasingly on oceans: what our rapidly changing seas mean for communities, ecosystems, and long-term resilience. I also write about these questions for broader audiences.

Brenden Jongman

Focus

My work focuses on climate risk, ocean systems, and how people, communities, and ecosystems adapt to change. I have worked across sea level rise, coral reef restoration, marine conservation, and disaster risk in more than twenty countries, with a particular interest in what our changing oceans tell us about broader resilience challenges.

The Pamir Highway, Tajikistan

AI is rewriting entire professions in months. Climate disruption is accelerating beyond the models. Geopolitical alliances that held for decades are fracturing. The world is shifting faster than most individuals, companies and nations can respond, and the traditional answers are not keeping up. Specialization, the strategy that built careers and economies for generations, is becoming a liability when the field you specialized in disappears. Resilience, the ability to bounce back, assumes you have somewhere to bounce to.

Something deeper is missing from how we think about navigating a volatile world. Not the ability to recover from a shock, but the structural capacity to change direction before you are forced to. I call this latitude.

Latitude is the number of viable paths genuinely accessible to you at any given moment. It is shaped by how reversible your commitments are, how deep and diverse your capabilities run, how portable your resources and reputation are, and whether you have the reserves and bandwidth to act when the moment demands it.

Drawing on fifteen years advising governments on climate risk and disaster preparedness, fieldwork across more than twenty countries, and extensive academic research, I am writing a book that examines how latitude is built, how it erodes, and why the forces that narrow it are often the same forces that once made us successful.

The book applies a single structural framework to individual careers, corporate strategy, national security and planetary systems. It asks why Detroit collapsed while Pittsburgh reinvented itself, why five centuries of flood defence may have made the Netherlands the most locked-in nation on Earth, why the companies building AI are simultaneously the smartest and the most structurally trapped, and how climate adaptation and biodiversity loss are fundamentally problems of narrowing options.

For updates on the book and related essays, follow me on:

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Nature Cover - High and Rising

Academic & Research Publications

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Speaking Topics

Adaptation in an age of climate and biodiversity loss

Risk, resilience, and decision-making under uncertainty

Lessons from cities and countries facing climate extremes

Nature-based solutions and long-term resilience

Brenden Jongman speaking
Brenden Jongman

Brenden Jongman works on climate resilience, ocean systems, and adaptation, with a focus on how people, communities, and ecosystems respond to change under real-world constraints. He has led major programs at the World Bank, including global initiatives on nature-based solutions, ocean and coastal resilience, and disaster risk financing, and has previously worked with the Red Cross and the European Commission, as well as in academic research and teaching at VU University Amsterdam. He is also an Honorary Research Associate at the University of Oxford's Environmental Change Institute, where his research focuses on oceans, climate risk, and adaptation, including what our rapidly changing seas mean for resilience and marine conservation.

Alongside his applied work, Brenden serves as an expedition and impact advisor to Ocean Warrior, led by renowned Arctic explorer Jim McNeill. Ocean Warrior brings scientists and expedition teams into some of the world's most remote marine environments to generate data, raise awareness, and support ocean conservation. His role focuses on expedition strategy, impact, and translating fieldwork into policy and broader change.

Brenden publishes in academic and policy journals and contributes essays and commentary to broader audiences. His research and writing have appeared in leading scientific journals and international media, including Nature, PNAS, and Nature Climate Change, as well as outlets such as the BBC, CNN, and The New York Times. He has presented his work to academic, policy, and practitioner audiences ranging from universities to international conferences and government forums. Across these settings, his aim is less to advocate for fixed solutions than to develop and test ideas about adaptation, resilience, and decision-making under rapid change.

Brenden holds a PhD in climate risk management from VU University Amsterdam and an MSc in Management from London Business School, and has worked for more than 15 years at the intersection of research, policy, and implementation. He has spent extended periods traveling and working in fragile and rapidly changing regions, experiences that continue to inform his approach.

Originally from the Netherlands, Brenden has lived and worked across Europe, Africa, Latin America, and North America. He works across multiple languages and currently lives in Mexico City with his wife and two daughters.

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